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OPEC slashes expected 2026 demand gain to 400,000 barrels daily

OPEC cut its 2026 global oil demand growth estimate to 400,000 barrels per day from an initial 1.4 million, a drop of over 70 percent in five months. Meanwhile, it raised its 2027 growth forecast to help refill depleted stockpiles.

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What happened

OPEC said on October 12 that it expects global oil demand to grow by 400,000 barrels per day in 2026, down from an initial projection of 1.4 million. Al Ghais tied the reassessment to market developments over the course of the year. On October 13, the group raised its 2027 demand growth forecast, citing the need to rebuild depleted inventories.

Why it matters

The forecast for this year's growth has fallen more than 70 percent in five months.

Timeline

  1. Oct 12, 12:42 PM ET: OPEC lowers its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast to 400,000 barrels per day from 1.4 million.
  2. Oct 13, 8:07 AM ET: OPEC raises its 2027 demand growth view, citing the need to rebuild depleted stock levels.

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