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China's economy expands faster than expected on AI-linked exports

Third-quarter GDP rose 4.5% year on year, above the 4.4% forecast, while domestic consumption stayed soft and the yuan hit a four-year high.

By Standard Topic. AI-generated from the reporting listed under Coverage. Published . Updated .

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What happened

China's economy grew 4.5% in the July-September quarter, topping the 4.4% forecast and rising from 4.3% in April-June, which was the weakest reading in over three years. Exports tied to the AI boom cushioned sluggish home demand and a property slump. Afterward, the yuan climbed to its strongest level in four years against the dollar and Chinese stocks closed higher.

Why it matters

The data eases pressure on policymakers to add stimulus toward the 4.5%-5% annual target and makes near-term interest rate cuts less likely.

Timeline

  1. Oct 18, 10:05 PM ET: China's National Bureau of Statistics reports third-quarter growth of 4.5% year on year.
  2. Oct 18, 11:34 PM ET: Figures show China's GDP grew 4.6% over the first three quarters of 2026.
  3. Oct 19, 1:06 AM ET: The yuan strengthens to a four-year high against the U.S. dollar after the stronger-than-expected growth figures and improving retail sales.
  4. Oct 19, 3:15 AM ET: Chinese stocks close higher on Monday, led by bank shares, as the GDP data outweighs weak sentiment around some AI supply chain companies.

Coverage

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