Scientists warn of record-breaking El Niño, with impacts spreading worldwide
Forecasters say El Niño is likely to strengthen and could reach historic levels, with effects on winter weather and rainfall far from the Pacific.
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What happened
El Niño, a warming of surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, is expected to grow stronger and could reach historic levels. Several seasonal models now agree on a strong pattern for winter 2026/2027, with more snow in the United States and less in Canada and Europe. Experts also warn that the shift could deepen hunger in East and South Africa unless action is taken early.
Why it matters
The climate pattern can alter rainfall and temperatures far beyond the ocean, and experts worry about deepening hunger in parts of Africa. Hawaii could face drought and fires this winter, according to local commentary.
Timeline
- Oct 14, 8:02 AM ET: El Niño was reported to be expected to grow stronger, possibly reaching historic levels, and to affect Florida's winter.
- Oct 14, 3:46 PM ET: An expert warned that the climate pattern could deepen hunger in East and South Africa and urged action before its effects arrive.
- Oct 15, 3:55 AM ET: Six seasonal models were reported to agree on a super El Niño snow pattern for winter 2026/2027.
- Oct 15, 6:01 AM ET: Hawaii was warned of possible drought and fires during the El Niño winter, following five near-miss hurricanes.
Coverage
- Olin Lagon: Drought After 2026 Storms? Our Kūpuna Tried To Warn You (civilbeat.org)
- Winter 2026/2027 Snowfall Forecast: How October Data Changed Your Region's Outlook (severe-weather.eu)
- El Niño expected to grow stronger. How will it impact Florida winter? (amp.naplesnews.com)
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