Business

Warsh offers no October rate signal as Fed faces hike debate

Speaking in Bangkok alongside IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh praised the global economy's surprising resilience but refused to say whether rates will rise or hold at the October 27-28 meeting. Markets had feared a possible back-to-back hike.

By Standard Topic. AI-generated from the reporting listed under Coverage. Published . Updated .

This story is no longer being updated. It reflects reporting up to .

What happened

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, speaking at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, refused to preview whether the Fed will hike or hold interest rates, despite persistent inflation concerns. On Friday he also called artificial intelligence the most consequential change of his lifetime, predicting a bumpy but ultimately positive path for economies.

Why it matters

Inflation data had raised bets on back-to-back rate increases, and the dollar weakened after Warsh gave no guidance. Analysts still expect a hold, but say the decision is uncertain.

Timeline

  1. Oct 16, 12:08 AM ET: Warsh said AI would make economies that use it well wealthier, though the road there would be very bumpy.
  2. Oct 16, 1:25 AM ET: The dollar weakened after Warsh declined to hint at a October rate rise, following CPI data that raised bets on possible back-to-back hikes.
  3. Oct 16, 11:38 AM ET: Analysts noted that investors expect the Fed to hold rates in October, while Warsh's communication approach left the decision uncertain.
  4. Oct 16, 12:57 PM ET: Warsh took part in a fireside chat with IMF Director Kristalina Georgieva during the week-long meetings in Bangkok.

Coverage

More on this story

More from Business

All Business news · Business story archive